卫星构型布局阶段基于统计推断的质量特性精准控制方法

An accurate control method for inferring satellite's weight characteristics based on statistics at its configuration and layout design stage

  • 摘要: 在卫星构型布局设计阶段,卫星的部件质量带有因继承性而异的不确定性,但这种不确定性符合数理统计规律,仍然具有可控性。为降低因部件质量不确定性导致的整星质量超限的风险,文章采用数理统计的方法,将构型布局阶段的传统“质量特性计算”优化为“质量特性控制”。基于对单机、分系统质量的数学期望计算,得出其在某置信区间内的上、下偏差,从而在大概率范围内用足卫星的许用质量,并计算出卫星质心在某置信区间内的偏差范围。根据计算结果,在卫星构型布局设计中将某(几)台设备设计出多个安装位置,精准实现卫星质心控制。该方法已成功应用于某卫星,取得了良好的工程效果。

     

    Abstract: The weight of components on board satellite is uncertain due to inheritance difference in the stage of satellite configuration and layout design. However, the uncertainty conforms to the laws of mathematical statistics and is still controllable. To reduce the risk of overloading caused by the uncertainty in component weight, this paper adopted mathematical statistics at the stage of configuration and layout design for satellite to optimize traditional weight characteristic calculation to weight characteristic control. Based on the mathematical expectation calculation of the weight of single units and subsystems, the upper and lower deviation within a certain confidence interval was obtained. Thus, the allowable weight of the satellite was utilized utmostly within a high probability range, and the deviation range of the satellite centroid in a certain confidence interval was calculated. According to the calculation results, multiple installation positions for a device (or several devices) in the satellite configuration and layout were designed to realize the satellite centroid control accurately. This method has been successfully applied to a satellite and has achieved good engineering effect.

     

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